Cardiff City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1926 |
NEW
5 - 0
CAR
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1926 |
CAR
0 - 1
BBU
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1926 |
EVE
0 - 1
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1926 |
CAR
0 - 1
LEI
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1926 |
SHW
3 - 0
CAR
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1926 |
ARS
2 - 4
TOT
61%
20%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1926 |
BIR
0 - 0
ARS
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1926 |
ARS
1 - 0
BCF
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1926 |
WBA
1 - 3
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1926 |
ARS
2 - 3
SUN
50%
22%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |