Cardiff City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1926 |
CAR
2 - 0
BIR
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1926 |
BCF
4 - 1
CAR
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1926 |
CAR
4 - 1
BBU
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1926 |
CAR
1 - 2
HUR
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1926 |
EVE
1 - 1
CAR
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1926 |
ARS
2 - 0
ASV
50%
21%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1926 |
ASV
1 - 1
ARS
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1926 |
ARS
3 - 0
NEW
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1926 |
LEE
4 - 2
ARS
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1926 |
ARS
1 - 2
BUR
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |