Cardassar vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardassar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
CAR
28%
26%
47%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 2
PET
69%
19%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
CAR
42%
25%
32%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
ALQ
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
UDA
51%
24%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
FER
2 - 0
ART
33%
23%
43%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
IMA
4 - 0
FER
64%
21%
16%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
FER
5 - 1
PLA
69%
19%
13%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
FER
3 - 2
POR
18%
22%
60%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
CEX
2 - 0
FER
55%
23%
22%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |