Carchá vs Guastatoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
46.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 2
CAR
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 1
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
CHI
23%
28%
49%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAR
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
MUN
24%
30%
46%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
4 - 0
CHI
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
VEN
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 2
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
COM
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
COB
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |