Carcavelinhos vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.3%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
82.8%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.3%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
12.2%
0-5
4.9%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.7%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.1%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcavelinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1942 |
BEL
5 - 2
CAR
90%
6%
3%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1942 |
CAR
3 - 3
FCP
9%
14%
78%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1942 |
OLH
5 - 1
CAR
66%
18%
16%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
CAR
1 - 3
ACA
55%
20%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
UNI
2 - 3
CAR
70%
16%
14%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1942 |
SCP
14 - 0
LEC
97%
2%
1%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1942 |
FCB
0 - 4
SCP
17%
18%
66%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1942 |
SCP
9 - 1
VIT
90%
6%
4%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
APO
0 - 3
SCP
4%
10%
86%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
BEL
3 - 1
SCP
42%
21%
37%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |