Carcavelinhos vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
78.4%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcavelinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1940 |
FCP
6 - 0
CAR
95%
4%
1%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
SLB
3 - 2
CAR
93%
5%
2%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
APO
1 - 3
CAR
55%
21%
24%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
CAR
2 - 3
FCB
49%
22%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
ACA
2 - 2
CAR
74%
14%
12%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1940 |
SCP
3 - 1
SLB
71%
14%
15%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
VST
0 - 3
SCP
8%
14%
77%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
SCP
4 - 3
FCP
68%
15%
17%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
LEX
2 - 9
SCP
8%
13%
79%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
BEL
0 - 0
SCP
36%
21%
43%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |