Carcavelinhos vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
58.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcavelinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
LEX
4 - 1
CAR
62%
19%
19%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1937 |
CAR
1 - 2
BEL
36%
23%
41%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1937 |
VST
3 - 1
CAR
70%
16%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
SLB
5 - 1
CAR
79%
12%
9%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1937 |
CAR
0 - 0
FCP
28%
21%
51%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
VST
2 - 3
SCP
42%
21%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1937 |
SCP
1 - 4
SLB
57%
19%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
FCP
2 - 2
SCP
69%
16%
15%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
BEL
1 - 1
SCP
48%
21%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1937 |
SCP
7 - 2
ACA
82%
11%
7%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |