Carcavelinhos vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcavelinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1937 |
BEL
3 - 0
CAR
82%
11%
7%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
CAR
1 - 0
VST
39%
23%
39%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
CAR
1 - 3
SLB
21%
20%
59%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1937 |
FCP
4 - 2
CAR
88%
8%
5%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1937 |
CAR
1 - 0
ACA
61%
20%
20%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1937 |
VST
4 - 0
LEX
69%
16%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
LEX
0 - 6
SLB
24%
20%
57%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
LEX
0 - 3
ACA
69%
16%
14%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1937 |
BEL
9 - 0
LEX
77%
13%
10%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1937 |
SCP
4 - 0
LEX
81%
11%
8%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |