Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 5-7
Carcavelinhos vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
50.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcavelinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1939 |
FCP
3 - 1
CAR
85%
9%
6%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
FCB
2 - 2
CAR
57%
20%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
CAR
2 - 1
FCB
53%
21%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1938 |
FCB
1 - 2
CAR
65%
18%
17%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
SCP
13 - 0
CAR
86%
9%
6%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1939 |
FCP
3 - 1
CAR
85%
9%
6%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
FCP
11 - 1
VIT
76%
14%
11%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
VIT
3 - 2
FCP
44%
22%
34%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
FCP
3 - 3
SLB
61%
18%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
APO
1 - 12
FCP
17%
19%
64%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |