Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 4-3
Carcavelinhos vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
25.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcavelinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1938 |
FCB
1 - 2
CAR
65%
18%
17%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
SCP
13 - 0
CAR
86%
9%
6%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
CAR
2 - 0
APO
61%
20%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
SLB
3 - 2
CAR
84%
10%
6%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
CAR
2 - 1
ACA
62%
20%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
SCP
2 - 1
FCB
90%
6%
3%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
FCB
3 - 2
ACA
64%
19%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCB
91%
6%
3%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
FCB
0 - 0
FCP
16%
19%
65%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
CAS
2 - 1
FCB
36%
24%
40%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |