Carcavelinhos vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
31.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcavelinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
CAR
1 - 3
SCP
16%
18%
66%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1938 |
APO
0 - 4
CAR
68%
17%
15%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1938 |
CAR
1 - 4
SLB
18%
19%
63%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1938 |
ACA
1 - 0
CAR
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
BEL
4 - 0
CAR
83%
10%
7%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
FCB
1 - 3
ACA
68%
17%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1938 |
BEL
2 - 3
FCB
78%
12%
9%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1938 |
FCB
1 - 4
FCP
32%
22%
46%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1938 |
SLB
0 - 0
FCB
88%
8%
5%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
FCB
1 - 1
APO
62%
19%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |