Carcavelinhos vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
44.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcavelinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
CAR
5 - 2
LEX
65%
18%
17%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
SCP
4 - 0
CAR
94%
4%
2%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
CAR
2 - 3
FCP
12%
17%
72%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
CAR
1 - 3
SLB
10%
16%
74%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
CAR
3 - 2
APO
67%
18%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1940 |
SCP
4 - 1
BEL
84%
10%
7%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
VST
0 - 1
BEL
34%
22%
44%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCP
41%
21%
38%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
ACA
2 - 2
BEL
35%
20%
45%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
APO
2 - 3
BEL
28%
21%
51%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |