Carcavelinhos vs Academico do Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
19.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcavelinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
SLB
3 - 2
CAR
84%
10%
6%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
CAR
2 - 1
ACA
62%
20%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
CAR
1 - 0
BEL
18%
18%
64%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
FCP
3 - 1
CAR
89%
7%
4%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1938 |
CAR
2 - 2
FCB
46%
22%
31%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Academico do Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
ACA
5 - 0
APO
62%
19%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
APO
3 - 2
BEL
22%
19%
59%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
APO
4 - 1
FCB
56%
21%
24%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
SLB
3 - 0
APO
86%
9%
5%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1938 |
SCP
6 - 0
APO
90%
7%
4%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | -1 |