Carcavelinhos vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcavelinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
CAR
0 - 0
VST
59%
20%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
CAR
1 - 5
BEL
33%
22%
45%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
CAR
5 - 2
LEX
65%
18%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
SCP
4 - 0
CAR
94%
4%
2%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
CAR
2 - 3
FCP
12%
17%
72%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
ACA
5 - 4
SLB
16%
18%
66%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
SCP
6 - 1
ACA
92%
5%
3%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
ACA
5 - 2
APO
79%
12%
9%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
ACA
5 - 0
VST
61%
18%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
ACA
2 - 2
BEL
35%
20%
45%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |