Carcavelinhos vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcavelinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1937 |
CAR
1 - 2
SCP
22%
19%
59%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
LEX
4 - 1
CAR
62%
19%
19%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1937 |
CAR
1 - 2
BEL
36%
23%
41%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1937 |
VST
3 - 1
CAR
70%
16%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
SLB
5 - 1
CAR
79%
12%
9%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1937 |
ACA
2 - 0
VST
39%
22%
39%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1937 |
SLB
2 - 1
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1937 |
ACA
2 - 1
FCP
18%
19%
63%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1937 |
BEL
2 - 3
ACA
79%
13%
9%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
ACA
4 - 2
LEX
51%
22%
27%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |