Carboneras vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carboneras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
VIC
2 - 0
CAR
71%
18%
12%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 1
CÉL
33%
24%
43%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ANT
3 - 1
CAR
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 4
SAN
50%
23%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 3
MAN
32%
25%
43%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
LOJ
1 - 1
ARE
43%
28%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CDV
1 - 1
LOJ
51%
25%
24%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
LOJ
1 - 2
NIJ
27%
28%
46%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PAL
0 - 0
LOJ
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
LOJ
0 - 3
MOT
20%
26%
55%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -2 |