Carboneras CF vs UD Pavía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-89%
+124%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carboneras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
POL
2 - 0
CAR
51%
24%
25%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
LNO
62%
21%
17%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
CAR
19%
21%
60%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
COM
59%
22%
19%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CUE
2 - 1
CAR
51%
22%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UD Pavía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PAV
3 - 1
LNO
48%
23%
30%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
PAV
52%
22%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PAV
1 - 2
CDV
18%
21%
61%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
NIJ
2 - 1
PAV
60%
21%
19%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PAV
0 - 0
MAA
26%
21%
53%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |