Caravel vs Jong Aruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
54.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-85%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 3
FAM
20%
20%
60%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
ASF
37%
21%
43%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 2
SVB
26%
20%
55%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 1
SVR
87%
9%
5%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
SVJ
4 - 0
CAR
75%
14%
11%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
SVR
2 - 1
SVJ
9%
14%
76%
|
26 | 6 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FAM
6 - 0
SVJ
52%
20%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ASF
1 - 0
SVJ
28%
21%
52%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SVJ
5 - 2
SVB
56%
20%
24%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
SVJ
4 - 0
CAR
75%
14%
11%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | +1 |