Caravaggio vs Vis Nova Giussano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
24.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
CRE
2 - 3
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
SON
40%
22%
37%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
USP
2 - 0
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
SCA
1 - 2
CAR
51%
25%
24%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 3
FAN
28%
24%
48%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Vis Nova Giussano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
CRE
3 - 1
NOV
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 2
TRI
41%
22%
37%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
USP
0 - 0
NOV
63%
19%
17%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 1
NIB
20%
21%
59%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
SON
2 - 3
NOV
68%
17%
15%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |