Caravaggio vs Virtus Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
46.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
LEC
0 - 0
CAR
56%
23%
21%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 2
DAR
35%
26%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
PSM
1 - 1
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
LEV
55%
21%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
TRE
0 - 1
CAR
26%
25%
49%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 3
VIR
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VIR
3 - 2
ACE
46%
27%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
UAR
1 - 0
VIR
34%
26%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
VIR
2 - 0
CNO
64%
21%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 2
VIR
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |