Caravaggio vs Virtus Bergamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
53.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 0
CAR
63%
22%
16%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
SCA
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
OLG
1 - 1
CAR
49%
25%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
FAN
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LEV
0 - 0
CAR
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
VBE
0 - 1
CIS
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
VBE
5 - 0
OLG
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 1
VBE
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
VBE
2 - 0
LEV
81%
13%
7%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SCA
2 - 2
VBE
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |