Caravaggio vs Villa Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
LEO
3 - 2
CAR
24%
21%
55%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
6 - 2
CAR
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
OLG
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
USB
2 - 2
CAR
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
CAR
37%
26%
37%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAL
56%
22%
23%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
USP
0 - 0
VIL
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAL
32%
25%
43%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
DES
2 - 0
VIL
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 2
SAN
19%
20%
61%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |