Caravaggio vs Trento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
PER
2 - 1
CAR
69%
20%
12%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
BUS
2 - 0
CAR
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
SCA
59%
21%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
CIS
2 - 0
CAR
37%
26%
37%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 2
ACL
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Trento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 0
PON
15%
20%
65%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
TRE
2 - 1
VBE
22%
21%
58%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
TRE
2 - 1
CRE
15%
20%
65%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | +3 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
DCA
2 - 1
TRE
56%
23%
22%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
PRO
3 - 1
TRE
82%
13%
5%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |