Caravaggio vs Real Calepina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
25.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAR
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
LEO
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAS
27%
22%
51%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
OLG
1 - 3
CAR
37%
25%
38%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
USB
19%
21%
60%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Real Calepina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ADR
3 - 1
CAL
58%
21%
22%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
VIL
55%
23%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 2
DES
23%
22%
55%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
CAL
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
OLG
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |