Caravaggio vs Sondrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
DAR
1 - 1
CAR
50%
24%
25%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SER
2 - 2
CAR
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 0
CIS
53%
23%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
PON
1 - 0
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -3 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
BUS
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sondrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SON
0 - 1
REZ
7%
13%
80%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PON
0 - 0
SON
84%
10%
6%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SON
1 - 1
PRO
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SON
1 - 3
LEC
18%
19%
63%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 3
SON
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |