Caravaggio vs Sondrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
BUS
1 - 0
CAR
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
VAR
29%
23%
48%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
OLG
2 - 0
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PSM
1 - 1
CAR
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
ASS
14%
24%
63%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | +4 |
Matches
Sondrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SON
2 - 4
LEC
17%
20%
63%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAP
0 - 1
SON
49%
22%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SON
1 - 2
SER
19%
21%
61%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SON
1 - 3
FIO
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PRO
2 - 1
SON
53%
23%
25%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |