Caravaggio vs Seregno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
52.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 2
CAR
59%
21%
20%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 3
PRO
14%
20%
66%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SON
4 - 2
CAR
49%
24%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 3
SCA
38%
25%
37%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
USP
0 - 0
CAR
53%
22%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
SCA
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
FOL
2 - 2
SER
43%
26%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
INV
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FOL
0 - 0
SER
46%
27%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
SER
1 - 0
LEV
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |