Caravaggio vs Seregno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
CIS
3 - 3
CAR
49%
23%
28%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 1
CAR
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
REZ
19%
20%
62%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 0
CAR
73%
19%
9%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
PON
28%
24%
49%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
SER
1 - 2
DAR
54%
22%
23%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
REZ
2 - 1
SER
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SER
0 - 2
CIS
67%
19%
15%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
PON
0 - 1
SER
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SER
1 - 3
PRO
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |