Caravaggio vs Seregno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
40.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
DCA
0 - 0
CAR
37%
26%
37%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
CIS
45%
24%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PSM
1 - 2
CAR
73%
16%
12%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 3
VBE
24%
22%
54%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 0
CAR
63%
22%
16%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SER
0 - 1
CIS
64%
21%
16%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
OLG
0 - 1
SER
33%
25%
42%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
VBE
36%
23%
41%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
SCA
3 - 2
SER
23%
22%
56%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
LEV
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |