Caravaggio vs Sangiuliano City Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
64.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
VCB
4 - 1
CAR
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
SON
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 1
CAR
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
FOL
23%
24%
53%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
DES
2 - 1
CAR
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sangiuliano City Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
OLG
84%
11%
5%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
USB
2 - 0
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
4 - 1
CRE
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 0
SAN
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAS
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |