Caravaggio vs Romanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
REZ
1 - 0
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 1
LEC
38%
25%
38%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
DAR
0 - 1
CAR
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
PSM
26%
25%
49%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
LEV
4 - 2
CAR
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Romanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ROM
1 - 2
VBE
9%
16%
76%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
PON
2 - 1
ROM
92%
6%
2%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ROM
1 - 2
DCA
27%
23%
50%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CRE
3 - 1
ROM
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
ROM
3 - 4
PRO
9%
16%
75%
|
15 | 39 | 24 | 0 |