Caravaggio vs Pol. Ciliverghe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PRO
1 - 1
CAR
40%
27%
33%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
FCC
36%
27%
38%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SER
2 - 1
CAR
62%
22%
17%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
PON
40%
26%
35%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 0
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PSM
2 - 0
ACM
79%
14%
8%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
SON
4 - 3
PSM
39%
23%
38%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PSM
3 - 1
INV
21%
21%
58%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +3 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 2
PSM
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PSM
1 - 1
MAP
39%
24%
37%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |