Caravaggio vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
75.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
16.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
INV
2 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 3
FOL
34%
29%
38%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 0
CAR
82%
13%
5%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
VBE
34%
24%
42%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
SER
17%
23%
60%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PIA
2 - 1
PRO
82%
13%
5%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MAP
1 - 1
PIA
9%
18%
73%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PIA
1 - 0
PON
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
FIO
0 - 3
PIA
10%
19%
70%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PIA
5 - 1
SON
86%
11%
3%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |