Caravaggio vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
44.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
PRO
35%
27%
38%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
FAN
3 - 1
CAR
46%
24%
31%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 3
LEV
61%
20%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
GRU
0 - 0
CAR
46%
26%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
VIR
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
PER
1 - 0
ASD
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
PER
3 - 0
INV
33%
25%
42%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
PRO
1 - 2
PER
44%
26%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
PER
2 - 1
FIO
52%
25%
23%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
PER
1 - 2
VBE
33%
23%
44%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |