Caravaggio vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
42.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CIS
3 - 2
CAR
64%
20%
17%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
PIA
8%
17%
75%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
INV
2 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 3
FOL
34%
29%
38%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 0
CAR
82%
13%
5%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PER
0 - 2
MAP
57%
24%
19%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
PER
61%
22%
17%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PER
0 - 0
FIO
58%
24%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PRO
2 - 0
PER
33%
28%
40%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PER
2 - 2
BUS
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |