Caravaggio vs Olginatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
USB
2 - 2
CAR
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
CAR
37%
26%
37%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 2
DES
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
TRI
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 1
SCA
71%
18%
12%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Olginatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
OLG
2 - 0
CAL
27%
23%
50%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 0
OLG
72%
18%
10%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 1
OLG
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
OLG
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SCA
4 - 0
OLG
56%
23%
21%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |