Caravaggio vs Levico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
TRE
0 - 1
CAR
26%
25%
49%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
4 - 3
PER
30%
26%
45%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
PRO
35%
27%
38%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
FAN
3 - 1
CAR
46%
24%
31%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 3
LEV
61%
20%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Levico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
LEV
0 - 1
VBE
31%
22%
47%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
PON
4 - 2
LEV
77%
14%
10%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MAN
2 - 1
LEV
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
SCA
1 - 1
LEV
32%
24%
45%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
LEV
2 - 0
VBE
21%
20%
59%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +4 |