Caravaggio vs Darfo Boario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 2
SER
51%
24%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
CIS
3 - 3
CAR
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 1
CAR
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
REZ
19%
20%
62%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 0
CAR
73%
19%
9%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Darfo Boario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
DAR
1 - 2
REZ
16%
19%
65%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
SER
1 - 2
DAR
54%
22%
23%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
PON
3 - 0
DAR
67%
19%
15%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
DAR
1 - 3
PRO
21%
24%
55%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
LEG
2 - 0
DAR
37%
25%
38%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -2 |