Caravaggio vs Ciserano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ACL
3 - 3
CAR
50%
26%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 2
VBE
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
PON
1 - 0
CAR
78%
14%
8%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
DCA
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CRE
1 - 1
CAR
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CIS
2 - 3
VBE
20%
23%
57%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PON
2 - 1
CIS
79%
13%
7%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CIS
1 - 1
DCA
55%
23%
22%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CRE
3 - 0
CIS
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CIS
0 - 2
PRO
22%
24%
55%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -2 |