Caravaggio vs Castellanzese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
45.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 2
CRE
38%
25%
38%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 0
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 2
CAR
47%
25%
29%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAR
76%
15%
10%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
VCB
27%
22%
51%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Castellanzese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 2
ARC
56%
22%
23%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ADR
5 - 2
CAS
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -3 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 1
VIL
77%
14%
9%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
FOL
0 - 2
CAS
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 2
CAL
75%
14%
11%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |