Caravaggio vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
37.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
DAR
0 - 1
CAR
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
PSM
26%
25%
49%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
LEV
4 - 2
CAR
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 0
TRE
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
PER
2 - 1
CAR
69%
20%
12%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
LEC
0 - 1
VBE
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
PON
3 - 2
LEC
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
LEC
1 - 0
DCA
78%
15%
8%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CRE
2 - 0
LEC
42%
22%
35%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
LEC
1 - 3
PRO
41%
26%
33%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |