Caravaggio vs Desenzano Calvina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
30.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
TRI
52%
21%
27%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 1
SCA
71%
18%
12%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
FAN
0 - 2
CAR
71%
17%
11%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +2 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 1
VCB
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ADR
2 - 1
CAR
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
DES
2 - 3
NIB
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 2
DES
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
VIL
4 - 0
DES
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
DES
1 - 2
CAL
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
SER
0 - 1
DES
58%
20%
21%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |