Caravaggio vs Sona Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
34.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 1
CAR
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
FOL
23%
24%
53%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
DES
2 - 1
CAR
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
ARC
1 - 1
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ADR
2 - 0
CAR
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sona Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
SON
0 - 0
CAL
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
SON
39%
22%
39%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SON
1 - 0
LEO
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
VCB
3 - 1
SON
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
SON
1 - 1
ADR
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |