Caravaggio vs Franciacorta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 0
CAR
27%
23%
50%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 0
VIL
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
LEO
3 - 2
CAR
24%
21%
55%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
6 - 2
CAR
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
OLG
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
ADR
2 - 2
SON
41%
23%
37%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
ADR
23%
22%
56%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ADR
3 - 3
NOV
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
ADR
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ADR
0 - 3
DES
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |