Caravaggio vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
56.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PER
3 - 1
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
DAR
42%
26%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
DCA
46%
26%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CIS
0 - 1
CAR
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ASS
4 - 0
SCA
84%
11%
5%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
OLG
1 - 5
ASS
25%
27%
48%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ASS
3 - 1
FAN
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LEV
1 - 3
ASS
20%
21%
59%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 1
PON
57%
23%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |