Caravaggio FC vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
36%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+108%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
TUB
2 - 2
CFC
43%
23%
33%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
CFC
49%
23%
29%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
CFC
2 - 0
CAM
15%
21%
64%
|
29 | 57 | 28 | +3 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
CRA
0 - 0
CFC
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
CFC
3 - 1
BLU
37%
22%
40%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
SCA
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
CRA
3 - 1
MET
33%
23%
44%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
MET
3 - 1
CAC
52%
22%
27%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
MET
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
MET
0 - 0
CAM
13%
21%
66%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | +1 |