Caravaggio FC vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
60.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
CAC
2 - 0
CFC
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CFC
1 - 0
HER
14%
21%
65%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
BRU
1 - 0
CFC
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 75 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 1
CFC
63%
22%
16%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
CFC
0 - 0
AVA
8%
19%
73%
|
37 | 81 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
JEC
1 - 1
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
AVA
3 - 0
JEC
81%
14%
5%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
CRI
3 - 0
JEC
78%
16%
6%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
JEC
1 - 1
BRU
15%
24%
61%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
JEC
2 - 1
CAC
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |