Caravaggio FC vs Caçador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
38.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
CFC
49%
24%
27%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 1
CFC
71%
18%
11%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CFC
0 - 2
GUA
37%
23%
41%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
NES
4 - 1
CFC
56%
21%
22%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 1
NES
30%
23%
47%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Caçador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 2
JUV
16%
21%
63%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
MET
4 - 0
CAC
63%
20%
18%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 1
CRA
29%
22%
49%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SCA
3 - 0
CAC
36%
22%
41%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CAC
0 - 2
SCA
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |