Caravaca vs Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
13º
11º
5
9º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 67 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 64 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 63 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 60 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 58 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 58 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 54 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 53 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 49 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 36 |
14º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 28 |
15º
|
56.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 22 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 20 |
17º
|
47% | |
|
|
18º
|
5 | 16 |
18º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 94.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 1
DPM
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
PUL
0 - 0
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
AFC
53%
23%
25%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 1
CAR
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
SAN
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
PLU
0 - 2
SAN
15%
20%
65%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PLU
1 - 4
MIN
24%
23%
53%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MUL
2 - 1
PLU
62%
20%
18%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
PLU
0 - 1
EGP
16%
21%
64%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MSM
6 - 1
PLU
83%
11%
5%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |