Caravaca vs Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
YEC
10%
18%
73%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
LOR
8 - 0
CAR
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 5
EGP
17%
23%
60%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MIN
9 - 2
CAR
62%
21%
18%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PLU
4 - 0
CFC
19%
25%
56%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
YEC
2 - 1
PLU
84%
11%
4%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
PIN
4 - 1
PLU
41%
25%
34%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
PLU
3 - 4
MAR
16%
23%
61%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PLU
1 - 4
LAU
19%
23%
58%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |